Below is a problem that I made up and my attempt to solve it. I am thinking I have the wrong answer and somebody here can tell me where I went wrong.
Thanks,
Bob
Problem:
The median net worth of a certain population is $100K$. To be in the top $10\%$ you need to have a net
worth of $1000K$. Assuming the population follows the Pareto distribution, what is the minimum net
worth you need to be in top $2\%$?
Answer:
Answer:
\newline
For the Pareto distribution we have:
\begin{eqnarray*}
P(X > x) &=& \Big( \frac{x_m}{x} \Big) ^ \alpha \\
\end{eqnarray*}
Now we can setup two equations with two unknowns.
\begin{eqnarray*}
\Big( \frac{x_m}{100} \Big) ^ \alpha &=& 0.5 \\
\Big( \frac{x_m}{1000} \Big) ^ \alpha &=& 0.1 \\
\end{eqnarray*}
Now we solve the two equations.
\begin{eqnarray*}
\Big( \frac{x_m}{100} \Big) ^ \alpha \Big( \frac{1}{10} \Big) ^ \alpha &=& 0.9 \\
0.5 \Big( \frac{1}{10} \Big) ^ \alpha &=& 0.1 \\
\Big( \frac{1}{10} \Big) ^ \alpha &=& 0.2 \\
\alpha \ln{ 0.1 } &=& \ln{0.2} \\
\alpha &=& 0.69897\\
\Big( \frac{x_m}{100} \Big) ^ { 0.69897} &=& 0.5 \\
\Big( \frac{x_m}{100} \Big) &=& 0.5 ^ { \frac{1}{ 0.69897 } } = 0.3709569 \\
x_m &=& 37.09569 \\
\end{eqnarray*}
Now we need to find the minimum net worth of the top $2\%$.
\begin{eqnarray*}
\Big( \frac{37.09569}{x} \Big) ^ { 0.69897 } &=& 0.98 \\
\Big( \frac{37.09569}{x} \Big) &=& 0.98 ^ { \frac{1}{0.69897} } = 0.9715102 \\
0.9715102 x &=& 37.09569 \\
x &=& 38.183531 \\
\end{eqnarray*}
Note that you are using the tail (complement CDF) $P(X > x)$ already.
The second of your starting equations
should be just directly the "top $10\%$"
$$ \Big( \frac{x_m}{1000} \Big) ^ \alpha = 0.1$$
The solution is $x_m \approx 37.095689$ and $\alpha \approx 0.69897$. The left end cutoff $x_m$ is now a reasonably low value (hmm? totally a different universe from ours), and $\alpha > 0 $ gives the typical $1/x$ like shape.
The minimum of the top $2\%$ is exactly $10^4$K, and this is not a coincidence. By having the top $10\%$ to be ten times (in wealth) the top $50\%$, you are setting a power law that goes 10 times in wealth when you go one-fifth in top percentage. Thus $2\%$ is another 10 times of the $10\%$.