Attempt
I perhaps want to expand in taylor series about $x_n$.
$$ y_{n+1} = y_n + h y'_n + h^2/2 y''_n $$
$$ y_{n-1} = y_n - h y'_n + h^2/2 y''_n $$
$$ f(y_{n+1} ) = y'_{n+1} = y'_n + h y_n'' + ... $$
$$ f(y_{n-1} ) = y'_{n-1} = y'_n - h y_n'' + ... $$
So we ahve
$$ T_k = 2h y'_n - h/3 ( 6 y'_n + O(h^2) ) = O(h^3) $$
So it is ${\bf third}$ order accurate. Is this correct?

It's probably easier to just derive the order of local error of Simpson's rule for integration. We can derive it by applying this rule to polynomial base functions $$ f_{m}(x) \in \left\lbrace 1, x - x_{n - 1}, (x - x_{n-1})^{2}, ..., (x - x_{n-1})^{m}, ... \right\rbrace $$ and we see that for $f_{4}(x) = (x - x_{n-1})^{4}$ this integration rule is no longer accurate $$ \frac{(2h)^{5}}{5} = \frac{h}{3} \left(0 + 4h^{4} + (2h)^{4} \right) + C \cdot f^{(4)}(\xi) $$ so we can calculate the constant in the local error \begin{align*} 4! \cdot C &= \frac{32 h^{5}}{5} - \frac{20 h^{5}}{3} \\ C &= - \frac{h^{5}}{90}. \end{align*}
Then we can derive this method for solving ordinary differential equations in the following way. Given equation $$ y' = f(x, y) $$ integrate it $$ \int_{x_{n-1}}^{x_{n+1}} y'(x)dx = \int_{x_{n-1}}^{x_{n+1}} f(x, y(x))dx \\ $$ and apply Simpson's rule on the right hand side $$ y(x_{n+1}) - y(x_{n-1}) = \frac{h}{3} \left( f(x_{n-1}, y_{n-1}) + 4 f(x_{n}, y_{n}) + f(x_{n+1}, y_{n+1})\right) - \frac{1}{90} h^{5} f^{(4)}(\xi) $$ disregard the error term and replace the exact values with approximations $y_{n+1} \approx y(x_{n+1})$ and $y_{n-1} \approx y(x_{n-1})$. Note that we have obtained the method and so the order of local error equals 5.