From my numerical solution I see that the solution to $$ \frac{dT}{dt} = a T - b h \\ \frac{dh}{dt} = -c h - d T $$ is an ellipse (where $a, b, c$ and $d$ are constants). Can this be solved analytically?
2026-05-17 16:35:28.1779035728
Analytic solution to elliptic coupled ODEs
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$$\frac{d}{dt}\begin{pmatrix}T\\h\end{pmatrix} = \begin{pmatrix}a&-b\\-d&-c\end{pmatrix} \begin{pmatrix}T\\h\end{pmatrix} $$ The general solution is $$\begin{pmatrix}T\\h\end{pmatrix}(t) =\exp\left(t\begin{pmatrix}a&-b\\-d&-c\end{pmatrix}\right)C,$$ where $C\in \Bbb R^2$ - an arbitrary constant vector (can be found by using, for example, initial data). Also, you can read about matrix exponent.
The qualitative behaviour of the solution depends on the Jordan normal form of the matrix $\begin{pmatrix}a&-b\\-d&-c\end{pmatrix} $ - i.e. eigenvalues and the structure of eigenvectors and generalised eigenvectors.
If, for example, the eigenvalues are $\pm i \lambda$, $\lambda\in \Bbb R$, then the solution is indeed an ellipse.