Calculating the years needed to double energy in the system

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Using the following information:

  • The EROI of corn ethanol is 1.3:1
  • Gross system energy per unit out = $EROI / [EROI-1]$
  • This means for each extra unit of energy produced, 4.33 units of energy were produced, 3.33 of which were used to produce the extra unit
  • You can only grow corn once per year

How many years do you have to grow corn to double your energy? Would that be 3.33 years?

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EROI is energy output divided by energy input, which I understand to be 1.3 in this case.

Suppose you start with one unit of energy. Note that $1.3^0 = 1$.

After one cycle of growing corn and making ethanol etc., your energy will be $1.3 \cdot 1 = 1.3 = 1.3^1$.

After two cycles, your energy will be $1.3 \cdot 1.3 = 1.3^2 = 1.69$.

After three cycles, you will have $1.3 \cdot 1.3^2 = 1.3^3 = 2.197 > 2$.


The general solution is that after $n$ cycles (where $n$ is an integer) you will have $1.3^n$ times the original energy. To solve when the energy has grown to $k$ times the original, you need to solve the equation $1.3^n = k$. Take a logarithm of both sides to get $$ n = \frac{\log k}{\log 1.3} = \log_{1.3} k. $$

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The number of years needed to double the energy is $$\log_{4/3} 2 = \frac {\log 2} {\log 4 - \log 3} = 2.40942083965\cdots$$