There is an interpretation of Lambda calculus that views a derivable statement $\Gamma \vdash x : A$ as the proposition $A$ with $x$ as "proof" of $A$.
However, there is another interpretation in which $\Gamma \vdash x : A$ is interpreted as the statement $x \in A$.
I have made my most important questions bold, but they can all be summarized with the question: How do these two interpretations relate to each-other?
Lets say $A$ is the type $\texttt {nat}$ for natural numbers. Its easy to see how $\Gamma \vdash 3 : \texttt{nat}$ could be interpreted as the statement $3 \in \mathbb{N}$, but how could it be interpreted as a proposition?
How is $\texttt{nat}$ a proposition in and of itself? And furthermore, how is $3$ a "proof" of $\texttt{nat}$?
Is $\texttt{nat}$ equivalent to the proposition "$\mathbb{N}$ is non empty", and similarly, is producing an example of a member of $\mathbb{N}$, such as $3$, the "proof" of that proposition?
If not, how is my thinking incorrect? If so, are there other interpretations of $\texttt{nat}$ as a proposition?
Looking at this from the other direction, you could have a $\Pi$-type in $\lambda P$ such as $\Pi x : \texttt{nat}\ .\ P$ where $P$ is the predicate "$P(x) = x$ is a natural number"
How could the proposition $P[x := y]$ (i.e. "$y$ is a natural number") be interpreted as a set? What is $P[x := y]$ a set of? Is it a set of proofs? That doesn't seem very intuitive to me.
Edit for clarification: It's important to note that, as far as I understand it, in lambda calculus, the predicate $P(x)$ is not in and of itself a set, it is a family of sets. Again, $P(x)$ is represented by a $\Pi$-type, not a type.
As far as I understand it, the predicate $P(x)$ would be written $\Pi x : \texttt{nat}\ .\ P $, which represents "$\forall x \in \mathbb{N}, P(x)$" which is typed as $\texttt{nat} \to *$. It is not until we apply a specific value to $P(x)$, i.e. $(\Pi x : \texttt{nat} . P) 3 \to_\beta P[x := 3]$, that it becomes typed as $*$, and is therefore an actual type (a.k.a. set).
So "$x$ is a natural number" would make sense as a set (the set of all natural numbers), but this is not how it is interpreted. Instead, "$x$ is a natural number" is a family of sets, and a specific instance of it (e.g. "3 is a natural number") is a set. How can something be a member of the set "3 is a natural number"? What does that even mean?
This is what is mostly confusing me in the second example mentioned above.
Going in the details would require a course in type theory, if you want to deepen your knowledge of the subject you should search reference on the Curry-Howard isomorphism.
An intuitive not too precise explanation of the relation between these interpretations is the following.
Generally to every proposition (not a predicate) can be associated a set: the set of its proofs.
This association has the property that it turns connectives into type formers: if we let $A$ be a proposition and denote with $[A]$ the associated set then we have that $[A \land B]=[A]\times[B]$, $[A \lor B]=[A] \amalg [B]$ and $[A \to B]=[A]\to[B]$.
There is more: the inference rules, that can be regarded as operations between proofs, correspond to special operations of the corresponding types. As an example the inference rules
become the canonical projections $\pi_{[A]} \colon A \times B \to A$ and $\pi_{[B]} \colon A \times B \to B$.
The interesting point is that these sets corresponding to propositions are those freely generated by a set of variables and closing for certain operations (the so called constructors).
So you get this correspondence between the propositions of propositional logic (and relative proofs) and these sets (and their elements), this correspondence turns out to be bijective.
This correspondence can be extended to include predicates by introducing family of sets (i.e. set-valued functions).
This brings us to the next question.
Predicates are not interpreted as sets, since they are not propositions.
A predicate is a family of propositions indexed by its possible arguments: a predicate $P(x)$ is a function that to every value $a$ (that can be assigned to $x$) associates the proposition $P(a)$.
If you get that, it should be obvious that a predicate should be interpreted not as a set but as a family of sets: i.e. a function sending every value of its argument into a set.
If $P(x)$ is a predicate, its interpretation is the function/family $[P(x)]$ defined by the equation $$[P(x)](a) = \text{ the set of proofs of } P(a)$$ that is a set-valued function.
To answer this question one should first specify what is the type system and the logic you are considering here.
The point here is that $\mathbf{nat}$ is a simple type, so it should correspond to a proposition in some logic. The problem is that it does not correspond to any proposition of any common used logic system.
For instance there is no proposition in the propositional logic that correspond to it. That is because $\mathbf{nat}$ does not belong to simply typed lambda calculus (STLC), it belongs to an STLC with natural numbers (an extension of STLC).
You could extend the propositional logic in a way to give a proposition corresponding to $\mathbf{nat}$. This would be an extension of propositional logic with a new constant proposition ($\mathbf{nat}$) with the following inference rules:
Such logic would not have really useful applications, since usually when applying logic we are interested in finding one proof for a proposition, we do not necessarily need more proof, especially if the new proofs are more complex than the one we already have.
Hope this helps.
P.s. note that the type $\prod x\colon \mathbf{nat}. P(x)$ does not have type $\mathbf{nat} \to *$ but it has type $*$, in the very same way as $\forall x \in \mathbb N. P(x)$ is a proposition not a depending-predicate.