Comparing $a \big\lceil \frac b c \big\rceil$ vs $\big\lceil \frac {ab} c \big\rceil$, where
- $a, b, c$ are integers with $a, b \geq 0$ and $c > 0$
- $a = q_a c + r_a$ where $0 \leq r_a < c$
- $b = q_b c + r_b$ where $0 \leq r_b < c$
Then
$$ \begin{align} a \bigg\lceil \frac b c \bigg\rceil &= a \bigg\lceil \frac {q_b c + r_b} c \bigg\rceil \\ &= a \bigg\lceil q_b + \frac {r_b} c \bigg\rceil \\ &= a \big( q_b + \big[ r_b \neq 0 \big] \big) \\ &= a \big( q_b + \big[ b \not\mid c \big] \big) \\ &= a q_b + a \big[ b \not\mid c \big] \end{align} $$
and
$$ \begin{align} \bigg\lceil \frac {ab} c \bigg\rceil &= \bigg\lceil \frac {a (q_b c + r_b)} c \bigg\rceil \\ &= \bigg\lceil a q_b + \frac {a r_b} c \bigg\rceil \\ &= a q_b + \bigg\lceil \frac {a r_b} c \bigg\rceil \\ &= a q_b + \bigg\lceil \frac {(q_a c + r_a) r_b} c \bigg\rceil \\ &= a q_b + \bigg\lceil q_a r_b + \frac {r_a r_b} c \bigg\rceil \\ &= a q_b + q_a r_b + \bigg\lceil \frac {r_a r_b} c \bigg\rceil \\ &= b q_a + q_b r_a + \bigg\lceil \frac {r_a r_b} c \bigg\rceil \end{align} $$
where $[cond]$ equals $1$ if condition $cond$ is true and $0$ otherwise.
Case 1. If $r_b = 0$, then
$$ a \bigg\lceil \frac b c \bigg\rceil = a q_b = \bigg\lceil \frac {ab} c \bigg\rceil $$
Case 2. If $r_b \neq 0$ and $r_a = 0$, then
$$ a \bigg\lceil \frac b c \bigg\rceil = a q_b + a $$
and
$$ \bigg\lceil \frac {ab} c \bigg\rceil = b q_a $$
Case 3. If $r_b \neq 0$ and $r_a \neq 0$, then
$$ a \bigg\lceil \frac b c \bigg\rceil = a q_b + a $$
and
$$ \bigg\lceil \frac {ab} c \bigg\rceil = a q_b + q_a r_b + \bigg\lceil \frac {r_a r_b} c \bigg\rceil $$
Can we say anything further about Case 2. and Case 3.?
Noting that $0 \leq r_a, r_b \leq c - 1$, we can conclude
$$ 0 \leq \bigg\lceil \frac {r_a r_b} c \bigg\rceil \leq c - 1 $$
We have that $\left\lceil\frac{b}{c}\right\rceil \ge \frac{b}{c}$. Multiply by $a$ to get $a\left\lceil\frac{b}{c}\right\rceil \ge \frac{a\ b}{c}$.
Since $a\left\lceil\frac{b}{c}\right\rceil$ is an integer greater than or equal to $\frac{a\ b}{c}$ then it's greater than or equal to the smallest integer greater or equal to $\frac{a\ b}{c}$, that is $a\left\lceil\frac{b}{c}\right\rceil \ge \left\lceil\frac{a\ b}{c}\right\rceil$.