I am pretty sure $e^{x-x^2/2a} \le 1+ ax$ for every $x\ge 0$ and $a \ge 1$ but cannot see how to prove it.
One idea was the inequality $\log(1+x) \ge x-\frac{x^2}{2}$ that comes from the Taylor series expansion, but that doesn't work because the $a$ is in the wrong place.
This looks like something I've seen before and forgotten. Has anyone else seen it before and remembered?

The claim is false:
For $a = 100$: