While looking at the behavior of the probability of getting a run of $k$ heads during $n$ tosses of a fair coin, I ended up needing to know the nature of the roots of polynomials of the form $$ P(x) = x^k - \sum_{m=0}^{k-1} x^m $$ It appears that the largest real root $r(k)$ is always just below $2$, and in fact that it appears that $$ \lim_{k \to \infty} 2^k (2-r(k)) = 1 $$
But I am unsure of my grounds in making these statements.
Does anybody know of any work proving things about the roots of these "almost cyclotomic" polynomials? In particular, is my conjecture a known theorem (or known to be false), and what can be said about the distribution in the complex plane of the other roots?
We have $$P(x)=x^k-\frac{x^k-1}{x-1}=0\iff Q(x)=x^{k+1}-2x^k+1=0$$ (this is indeed a bidirectional implication because the it also holds in the problematic case that $x=1$ is a root, which only happens for $k=1$). Now for $x\ge 2$ we have $Q(x)=(x-2)x^k+1\ge 1$, hence $r(k)<2$ (if there is a real root at all). On the other hand $$Q(2-\epsilon)=1-2^k\epsilon(1-\epsilon/2)^k$$ Hence with $0\le \epsilon \le 2^{-k}$ $$ Q(2-\epsilon)\ge 1-(1-\epsilon/2)^k>0$$ so that $2-r(k)>2^{-k}$. Then continue with the Bernoulli inequality (for $\epsilon<2$) $$Q(2-\epsilon) \le 1-2^k \epsilon(1-k\epsilon/2)=1-2^k\epsilon+k2^{k-1}\epsilon^2$$ Hence if $\epsilon=(1+h)2^{-k}$ with $h=\frac{k}{2^{k-1}}<1$ (for $k>2$) $$Q(2-(1+h)2^{-k})\le-h+\frac{k(1+h)^2}{2^{k+1}}<-h+\frac k{2^{k-1}}=0.$$ This shows that $2^{-k}<2-r(k)<2^{-k}+k2^{-2k+1}$ (and that there is a real root in the first place) for $k>2$ so that indeed $\lim_{k\to\infty}2^k(2-r(k))= 1$.
Complex roots of $Q$: If $|x|>1$ and $|x-2|>1$ then $|Q(x)|>|x-2|-1>0$. Hence all roots are within the union of the closed disks of radius $1$ around $0$ and $2$. If $x$ is a root with $|x|<\sqrt[k]{1/3}$ then both $|x-2|<3$ and $|x-2|=\frac1{|x|^k}>3$, hence the disk with radius $1/\sqrt[k]3$ around $0$ contains no roots.