Trial until first success. What is p?

30 Views Asked by At

Let's say I repeated some trial 90 times and got a success on my last attempt.

I guessing that such a confidence interval is different than if I had gotten 1 success at any point out of my 90 trials.

In my case I didn't decide on 90 trials beforehand, but I'm stopping at 90 because I got my success.

How do I find a confidence interval in this case?