For a quadratic Bézier curve ($b_2(t)$, with control points $p_1, c_2, p_3$), when $t = 0.5$, the interpolant $b_2(t = 0.5)$ is equidistant from $c_2$ and the midpoint $m_2$ of the line from $p_1$ to $p_3$. Thus we can extrapolate from $m_2$ through $c_2$ to $p_2$.
Can we describe similarly about the control points only using the data points when the Bézier curve has higher order? For example, for a cubic one ($b_3(t)$), I tried drawing the control point polygons and only found out the distance from $m_{2.5}$, the middle point between $p_1$ and $p_4$, to $b_3(t = 0.5)$, is $3 \times b_3(t = 0.5)$ to $d_{2.5}$, the middle point between $c_2$ and $c_3$. But if we are only given $b_3(t = 0, 1/3, 2/3, 1) = p_1$ to $p_4$, I'm not sure how $b_3(t = 0.5)$ would play a role in finding $c_2$ and $c_3$.
Any help is appreciated.
Suppose we have a cubic curve $C$ with control points $P_0, P_1, P_2, P_3$.
Let's denote some "data points" by $Q_0 = C(0) = P_0$, $Q_1 = C(\tfrac13)$ and $Q_2 = C(\tfrac23)$, and $Q_3 = C(1) = P_3$,
Then, by calculating $C(\tfrac13)$ and $C(\tfrac23)$, we know that $$ Q_1 = \frac{1}{27}(8P_0 + 12P_1 + 6P_2 + P_3) = \frac{1}{27}(8Q_0 + 12P_1 + 6P_2 + Q_3) \\ Q_2 = \frac{1}{27}( P_0 + 6P_1 + 12P_2 + 8P_3) = \frac{1}{27}( Q_0 + 6P_1 + 12P_2 + QP_3) $$ You can easily solve these equations to get $$ P_1 = \frac16(-5Q_0 + 18Q_1 - 9Q_2 + 2Q_3) \\ P_2 = \frac16( 2Q_0 - 9Q_1 + 18Q_2 - 5Q_3) $$ So $P_1$ and $P_2$ are affine combinations of $Q_0,Q_1,Q_2,Q_3$, but the geometry is not clear to me, just yet.
There's nothing magic about the parameter values $\tfrac13$ and $\tfrac23$. You could certainly do a similar calculation using $\tfrac14$ and $\tfrac34$, and probably other parameter pairs would work, too. I thought $\tfrac13$ and $\tfrac23$ were most likely to give simple geometric relationships, but no success so far.
In fact this question gives formulas involving the curve points at $t=\tfrac14$ and $t=\tfrac34$.
The geometric construction of $Q_0,Q_1,Q_2,Q_3$ from $P_0,P_1,P_2,P_3$ is clear from de Casteljau's algorithm, but the reverse is not so clear (to me). But, see my other answer for some geometric ideas.