I am looking to show that $$\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty}\frac{1}{e^n}\sum_{k=1}^n \binom{n}{k} \left(\frac{ck}{n}\right)^k = 0. $$ In my application, $c = (e+1)/2 \approx 1.85914\ldots$. I have been looking all over the place, but I can't seem to find a closed form expression or good upper bound for the sum.
The obvious estimation $$\sum_{k=1}^n \binom{n}{k} \left(c\frac{k}{n}\right)^k \leq \sum_{k=0}^n \binom{n}{k} \left(c\right)^k \leq \left(1+c\right)^n $$ won't do the trick, since $1+c=1+(1+e)/2 > e$.
Any ideas?
Simple Approximation with Bernoulli's Inequalty
Using Bernoulli's Inequality, we see that $$ e^{-k}\le\left(1-\frac{k}{n}\right)^{n-k}\le e^{-k(1-k/n)}\tag{1} $$ Thus, $$ \begin{align} \lim_{n\to\infty}\frac1{e^n}\sum_{k=1}^n\binom{n}{k}\left(\frac{ck}{n}\right)^k &=\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac1{e^n}\sum_{k=0}^n\binom{n}{k}\left(\frac{c(n-k)}{n}\right)^{n-k}\\ &=\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac1{e^n}\sum_{k=0}^n\binom{n}{k}c^{n-k}\left(1-\frac{k}{n}\right)^{n-k}\\ &=\lim_{n\to\infty}\sum_{k=0}^n\binom{n}{k}\left(\frac ce\right)^{n-k}\left[\frac1{e^2},\frac1{e^{2-k/n}}\right]^k\tag{2} \end{align} $$ $(2)$ says that the limit is infinity if $c\gt e-\frac1e=2.3504023872876029138$.
The Central Limit Theorem says that as $n\to\infty$, the main contribution to $$ \sum_{k=0}^n\binom{n}{k}x^{n-k}y^k\tag{3} $$ occurs within a $O\left(n^{-\frac12+\epsilon}\right)$ neighborhood of $\frac kn=\frac{y}{x+y}$. If we abbreviate $\frac kn=\alpha$, we get that the limit is $0$ if $c\lt e-\frac1{e^{1-\alpha}}$ where the Central Limit Theorem gives $\frac1\alpha-1=ce^{1-\alpha}$. Solving for $\alpha$, we get $$ \begin{align} \left(\frac1\alpha-1\right)e^{\alpha-1} &=e-e^{\alpha-1}\\ &\Downarrow\\ \alpha &=-\mathrm{W}\left(-e^{-2}\right)\\ &=0.15859433956303936215\tag{4} \end{align} $$ $(4)$ yields that the limit is $0$ if $c\lt2.287177717128371900838$.
Since $\frac{e+1}2\lt2.287177717128371900838$, when $c$ is close to $\frac{e+1}{2}$, the limit is $0$.
This simple argument cannot tell what happens for $$ 2.287177717128371900838\lt c\lt2.3504023872876029138\tag{5} $$
More Precision with Laplace's Method
For more precision, Laplace's Method can be adapted to handle the sum $$ e^{-n}\sum_{k=0}^n\binom{n}{k}\left(\frac{ck}{n}\right)^k\tag{6} $$ In Laplace's Method, the integral is $$ \sqrt{\frac{2\pi}{s(x_\text{max})}}f(x_\text{max})\tag{7} $$ where $s(x)=-\frac{\mathrm{d}^2}{\mathrm{d}x^2}\log(f(x))$ and $f'(x_\text{max})=0$.
The first difference of $\log\binom{n}{k}$ is $\log\left(\frac{n-k}{k+1}\right)$. The derivative of $k\log\left(\frac{ck}{n}\right)$ is $1+\log\left(\frac{ck}{n}\right)$. Thus, we will approximate the first derivative of the log of the summand by $$ \log\left(\frac{ce(n-k)}{n}\right)=\log(ce(1-\alpha))\tag{8} $$ where $\alpha=\frac kn$. Thus, the maximum of the integrand is when $$ ce(1-\alpha)=1\tag{9} $$ The negative of the second derivative of the log of the summand at the maximum is then $$ \frac1{n-k}=\frac1{n(1-\alpha)}=\frac{ce}{n}\tag{10} $$ Computing the value of the summand at its maximum using Stirling's formula: $$ \begin{align} &\frac1{\sqrt{2\pi n}}\sqrt{\frac{n^2}{k(n-k)}}\frac{n^n}{k^k(n-k)^{n-k}}\frac{c^kk^k}{n^ke^n}\tag{11}\\ &=\frac1{\sqrt{2\pi n\alpha(1-\alpha)}}\left(\frac{c^\alpha}{e(1-\alpha)^{1-\alpha}}\right)^n\tag{12}\\ &=\frac1{\sqrt{2\pi n\alpha(1-\alpha)}}\left(ce^{-\alpha}\right)^n\tag{13}\\ &=\frac{ce}{\sqrt{2\pi n(ce-1)}}\left(\frac cee^{\large\frac1{ce}}\right)^n\tag{14} \end{align} $$ Using $(7)$, $(10)$, and $(14)$, we get the sum in $(6)$ to be asymptotic to $$ \begin{align} \sqrt{\frac{ce}{ce-1}}\left(\frac cee^{\large\frac1{ce}}\right)^n\tag{15} \end{align} $$ Formula $(15)$ indicates that the breakpoint in $c$ between the limit being $0$ and being $\infty$ is when $\frac cee^{\large\frac1{ce}}=1$; that is, $$ \begin{align} c &=-\frac1{e\mathrm{W}\left(-e^{-2}\right)}\\[6pt] &\doteq2.3196252917035202431\tag{16} \end{align} $$ Note that the $c$ given in $(16)$ is almost in the middle of the range given in $(5)$. When $c$ is equal to the value in $(16)$, we get $$ \sqrt{\frac{ce}{ce-1}}=1.0901776779197391224\tag{17} $$ Using Mathematica 8, computing the sum in $(6)$ for the $c$ given in $(16)$ and $n=100000$ yields $1.090178422502261$; very close to $(17)$.
For $c=\frac{e+1}{2}$, approximation $(15)$ says that the sum is asymptotic to $$ 1.1165527750632721\times0.8335934600537050^n\tag{18} $$ For $n=500$, $(18)$ gives $3.34987509422\times10^{-40}$, whereas actual computation yields $3.35051202913\times10^{-40}$, an error of less than $0.02\%$.