Determine Accuracy of Independent Probabilities

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Below are my calculated probabilities (using naive bayes), and whether or not the event actually occurred. How do i determine the margin of error for these probabilities?

P(s)    s
---------
0.329   0
0.786   1
0.591   1
0.641   1
0.84    0
0.402   1
0.505   0
0.314   1
0.493   0
0.534   0
0.551   0
0.661   1
0.332   0
0.554   0
0.433   1
0.364   1
0.462   1
0.36    1
0.25    0
0.454   0
0.524   1
0.518   1
0.57    0
0.46    0
0.641   0
0.336   0
0.484   1
0.521   1
0.413   0
0.728   1