Let $X_t = \int_0^t \sin(1 + 3W_s) dW_s$. (1) Find an expression for $X_t$, using Ito's formula. (2) Find mean and variance for $X_t$

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To find an expression for $X_t$ using Itô's formula, we need to express $X_t$ as a function of a stochastic process. Let's define a function $F(t, W_t)$ such that $X_t$ can be derived from it using Itô's formula.

Given: $X_t = \int_0^t \sin(1 + 3W_s) dW_s$.

We define $F(t, W_t)$ such that $dF(t, W_t)$ corresponds to the integrand of $X_t$. A suitable choice for $F$ is a function whose derivative with respect to $W_t$ is $\sin(1 + 3W_t)$.

Let's consider $F(t, W_t) = -\frac{1}{3} \cos(1 + 3W_t)$. Then, applying Itô's formula:

$$ dF(t, W_t) = \frac{\partial F}{\partial t} dt + \frac{\partial F}{\partial W_t} dW_t + \frac{1}{2} \frac{\partial^2 F}{\partial W_t^2} (dW_t)^2. $$

Calculating the derivatives:

  • $\frac{\partial F}{\partial W_t} = \sin(1 + 3W_t)$,
  • $\frac{\partial^2 F}{\partial W_t^2} = 3 \cos(1 + 3W_t)$,
  • $\frac{\partial F}{\partial t} = 0$ (since $F$ does not explicitly depend on $t$).

Substituting these into Itô's formula:

$$ dF(t, W_t) = \sin(1 + 3W_t) dW_t + \frac{1}{2} \cdot 3 \cos(1 + 3W_t) dt. $$

Integrating both sides from 0 to $t$:

$$ F(t, W_t) - F(0, W_0) = \int_0^t \sin(1 + 3W_s) dW_s + \frac{3}{2} \int_0^t \cos(1 + 3W_s) ds. $$

Since $F(0, W_0) = -\frac{1}{3} \cos(1)$, we have:

$$ X_t = F(t, W_t) + \frac{1}{3} \cos(1) - \frac{3}{2} \int_0^t \cos(1 + 3W_s) ds. $$

This is the expression for $X_t$ using Itô's formula.

For the mean and variance:

  1. Mean of $X_t$:

    • $\mathbb{E}[X_t] = \mathbb{E}[F(t, W_t)] + \frac{1}{3} \cos(1) - \frac{3}{2} \mathbb{E}\left[\int_0^t \cos(1 + 3W_s) ds\right]$.
    • Since the expectation of an Itô integral is 0, $\mathbb{E}[X_t] = \frac{1}{3} \cos(1)$.
  2. Variance of $X_t$:

    • Using Itô isometry, $\text{Var}(X_t) = \mathbb{E}\left[\int_0^t \sin^2(1 + 3W_s) ds\right]$.