Getting into the causality tools. Suppose I have a causal graph $X\to R\to T\leftarrow U.$
I can work out that $R$ and $U$ are independent; i.e., $P(r, u) = P(r)\,P(u).$
Also $X$ and $T$ are conditionally independent given $R;$ i.e., $P(x|t,r) = P(x|r).$
I think there must be a way to prove:
- independence of $X$ and $U;$ i.e., $P(x|u) = P(x)$
- independence of $X$ and $U$ conditional on $R;$ i.e., $P(x|u,r) = P(x|r).$
Appreciate any help!
From your diagram, the collider blocks the causal pathway from $X$ to $U,$ and there is no back-door path. Hence they are independent. If you condition on $R,$ the path is still blocked by the collider at $T.$ The only situation in which you would get dependence is if you conditioned on the collider $T.$