A Geiger counter beeps according to a Poisson arrival process, with rate 1 beep per minute.

713 Views Asked by At

A Geiger counter beeps according to a Poisson arrival process, with rate 1 beep per minute. Let T_3 be the time in minutes from when the Geiger counter is turned on until the third beep.

Find P( 1 < T_3 < 3 ) = probability T_3 falls in interval (1,3).

Can someone check which of my answers are correct?

enter image description here

enter image description here

1

There are 1 best solutions below

0
On BEST ANSWER

Yes, if you seek the probability that the third beep occurs after one minute but not after three minutes, then your first method is correct. $$\mathsf P(1< T_3\leqslant 3)~{=\mathsf P(1<T_3)-\mathsf P(3<T_3) \\= \mathsf P(N_{[0;1)}\leq 2)-\mathsf P(N_{[0;3)}\leq 2)\\=(1+1+\tfrac 12)\mathsf e^{-1}+(1+3+\tfrac 92)\mathsf e^{-3}\\=\tfrac12(5\mathsf e^{-1}+17\mathsf e^{-3})}$$