My goal is to find whether we could end up with something in the form $P(\bar{X} < \epsilon) > 1 - b^n$ where $n$ is the amount of data points we have
2026-04-09 13:21:56.1775740916
Calculate $P(\bar{X} < \epsilon)$ given that for all $i=1,2,...,n$, $P(X_i < \epsilon) > 1 - a$, $X$ is taken from some distribution $D$ and $0<a<1$
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Sorry but you did not provide enough condition to get you a definite answer for that. We need the full probability distribution function in order to calculate that.
To illustrate my point, here are an examples that both satisfy your condition but gives you different answers to your question.
$$ P_1(x) = \left\{ \begin{aligned} 1-a \quad & \text{when}\quad x=0 \\ a \quad & \text{when}\quad x=2\epsilon \\ \end{aligned} \right. $$ $$ P_2(x) = \left\{ \begin{aligned} 1-a \quad & \text{when}\quad x=\epsilon/2 \\ a \quad & \text{when}\quad x=2\epsilon \\ \end{aligned} \right. $$