Conditional distribution of $X$ given that $X+Y=2$

891 Views Asked by At

I have $X$ and $Y$ independent $\Gamma(2,a)$-distributed random variables. I am trying to find conditional distribution of $X$ given that $X+Y=2$.

My solution: set $U = X+Y, V = X.$ Inversion yields $ X=V, Y=U-V.$

$$f_{X,Y}(x,y)=f_X(x)\cdot f_Y(y) = \frac{1}{a^4}\cdot xy\cdot e^{-(x+y)/a} $$

$J = -1$, so $|J| = 1$, thus

$$f_{U,V}(u,v) = f_{X,Y}(v, u-v)\cdot 1 = \frac{1}{a^4} \cdot v(u-v)\cdot e^{-u/a},$$

from which I got the $f_U(u) = \frac{1}{a^4}\cdot e^{-u/a}\cdot \left( u-\frac{v^3} 3 \right)$, then

$$f_{V\mid U=2}(v) = \frac{f_{U,V}(2,v)}{f_U(2)} = \frac{e^{-2/a} \cdot(2v-v^2)}{a^4} \cdot \frac{a^4}{e^{-2/a}\cdot(2-v^3/3)} = \frac{3v(2-v)}{6-v^3},$$

but the book gives $\frac{3x}{2}\cdot(1-\frac{x}{2})$

Since $V=X$, the above $2$ should match, but not sure where I made the mistake.Checked multiple times, but no luck.

Please help. Thank you.

2

There are 2 best solutions below

0
On BEST ANSWER

Your calculation of the marginal distribution $f_U(u)$ appears to be incorrect. I get $$f_U(u) = \int_{v=0}^u f_{U,V}(u,v) \, dv = \frac{u^3 e^{-u/a}}{6a^4}.$$ Note that the interval of integration is on $v \in [0,u]$, since $Y \ge 0$ implies $U - V \ge 0$ or $V \le U$. Furthermore, the marginal distribution cannot be a function of $v$. From this, we get $$f_{V \mid U = 2}(v) = \frac{f_{U,V}(2,v)}{f_U(2)} = \frac{v(2-v)e^{-2/a}}{a^4} \cdot \frac{3a^4}{4e^{-2/a}} = \frac{3}{2} v(1-v/2),$$ as claimed.

0
On

I wouldn't bother with the marginal distribution of $U$. You have $$ \text{constant} \cdot v(u-v)\cdot e^{-u/a} = \text{constant} \cdot v(2-v) \text{ for } 0\le v\le 2. $$ The second "constant" is the first "constant" times $e^{-u/a};$ that latter quantity is "constant" because it does not depend on $v$.

That's the conditional density of $V$ given that $U=2$, and that's what you're looking for. Finding the constant is routine.

(Note that this is the same as what the book gives: $(2-v) = 2\left( 1 - \frac v 2 \right).$)