{Probability of a day being a rainy day only depends on the day before}. If yesterday was a rainy day then there is $0.6$ percent chance that today will be a rainy day and if yesterday was a sunny day probability of today being a rainy day is $0.4$.
Then what is the probability that the $4^{th}$ day is a rainy day if the $1^{st}$ day was a rainy day?
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2026-04-12 12:36:03.1775997363
Conditional probability: rains on $4^{th}$ day if $1^{st}$ day is a rainy day?
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1
Using WW1's method
RRRR + RSRR + RRSR + RSSR
$$(1)(.6)(.6)(.6) + (1)(.4)(.4)(.6) + (1)(.6)(.4)(.4) + (1)(.4)(.6)(.4)= 0.504$$
Assuming the only weather types are sunny and rainy