So, I'm working on a method that calculates $\cos\theta : \theta \in [0, \frac{\pi}{2})$ using geometric methods, and I'm trying to work out the error of the approximation. I have a wonderful estimate for the approximation if I know that the following always produces an overestimate.
We have a $h_0 := \frac{\theta}{2^k}$, where $k$ is an arbitrary fixed positive integer, which produces the sequence $h_n := h_{n-1}\sqrt{4 - h_{n-1}^2} \quad \forall n \in \mathbb{N}$. These values are approximating $2\sin\frac{\theta}{2^{k+1-n}}$, which is the length of the chord of an arc of a circle with angle $\frac{\theta}{2^{k-n}}$. It is obvious, from observation that $h_0$ is the arc length of the circular arc with angle $\frac{\theta}{2^k}$, and thus is an overestimate for $2\sin\frac{\theta}{2^{k+1}}$.
My dilemma is that empirical evidence shows that $h_n$ overestimates $2\sin\frac{\theta}{2^{k+1-n}} \quad \forall n \in [0, k-1] \cap \mathbb{Z}$, and in some cases for $h_k$ as well. However despite varied attempts I have been unable to prove that this is the case. Any help would be most appreciated.
As per your considerations, and introducing a distinction between the exact and approximate angle, $$ h_0=\fracθ{2^k}=2\sin\fracϕ{2^{k+1}} $$ you get for the exact angle of the iteration \begin{align} ϕ&=2^{k+1}\arcsin\frac{θ}{2^{k+1}} \\ &= 2^{k+1}\left(\frac{θ}{2^{k+1}}+\frac16\frac{θ^3}{2^{3k+3}}+…+\binom{2n}{n}\frac{θ^{2n+1}}{2^{nk+n}4^n(2n+1)}+…\right) \\ &= θ+\frac{θ^3}{6·2^{2k+2}}+O(2^{-4k}) \end{align}
Which means that $$ h_{k+1}=2\sinϕ=2\sin\left( θ+\frac{θ^3}{6·2^{2k+2}}+…\right) $$ will be slightly larger than $2\sin θ$.
Of course, $$ h_k=2\sin\fracϕ2=\frac{\sinϕ}{\cos\fracϕ2} $$ will be systematically larger than $\sinϕ$ as $\cos\fracϕ2<1$.