Dominance relation with different confidence intervals: why not always acting like a strict poset?

47 Views Asked by At

I have noticed that a dominance relation acts like a strict poset with the confidence interval equal to 0 but very differently with non-zero confidence intervals. For example, 1D2 and 2D3 always implies 1D3 under the confidence interval of zero but not so with non-zero confidence intervals. My friend said that this is because the events act like point estimation when the confidence interval is zero while not so with non-zero confidence interval. I could not understand this because of the word "point-estimation".

Please, explain the system with non-zero confidence interval.

Examples

System with the confidence interval equal to 0: working like a strict poset

enter image description here

System with the non-zero confidence interval: not working like a strict poset

The transitivity does not work here as expected: the blue cases do not imply the red case because of the non-zero confidence interval.

enter image description here

What is the technical interpretation for this observation with different confidence intervals?