I am trying to calculate the probability that a home will sell in varying times (30, 60, 90, 120 days etc.) based on current market statistics. I have the number of homes matching (comparable homes) to the house that is going to be sold. There are (21 homes sold in one year or 365 days). Furthermore their are currently(12 active homes) on the market comparable to the home that is going to be sold. I want to calculate the probability of selling a home in incremental times (30, 60, 90, 120 days etc.) for example the home I am selling has a 10.5% chance it would sell in the next 30 days. I am needing the formula and understanding of how to plug the numbers in to create the probability of sale. I have been attempting to work with standard deviation and Z tables to create the formula to display the probability of sale and display it in percentage.
2026-03-28 22:28:16.1774736896
Find the probability of selling a home
484 Views Asked by Bumbble Comm https://math.techqa.club/user/bumbble-comm/detail At
1
There are 1 best solutions below
Related Questions in PROBABILITY
- How to prove $\lim_{n \rightarrow\infty} e^{-n}\sum_{k=0}^{n}\frac{n^k}{k!} = \frac{1}{2}$?
- Is this a commonly known paradox?
- What's $P(A_1\cap A_2\cap A_3\cap A_4) $?
- Prove or disprove the following inequality
- Another application of the Central Limit Theorem
- Given is $2$ dimensional random variable $(X,Y)$ with table. Determine the correlation between $X$ and $Y$
- A random point $(a,b)$ is uniformly distributed in a unit square $K=[(u,v):0<u<1,0<v<1]$
- proving Kochen-Stone lemma...
- Solution Check. (Probability)
- Interpreting stationary distribution $P_{\infty}(X,V)$ of a random process
Related Questions in PROBABILITY-THEORY
- Is this a commonly known paradox?
- What's $P(A_1\cap A_2\cap A_3\cap A_4) $?
- Another application of the Central Limit Theorem
- proving Kochen-Stone lemma...
- Is there a contradiction in coin toss of expected / actual results?
- Sample each point with flipping coin, what is the average?
- Random variables coincide
- Reference request for a lemma on the expected value of Hermitian polynomials of Gaussian random variables.
- Determine the marginal distributions of $(T_1, T_2)$
- Convergence in distribution of a discretized random variable and generated sigma-algebras
Related Questions in PROBABILITY-DISTRIBUTIONS
- Given is $2$ dimensional random variable $(X,Y)$ with table. Determine the correlation between $X$ and $Y$
- Statistics based on empirical distribution
- Given $U,V \sim R(0,1)$. Determine covariance between $X = UV$ and $V$
- Comparing Exponentials of different rates
- Linear transform of jointly distributed exponential random variables, how to identify domain?
- Closed form of integration
- Given $X$ Poisson, and $f_{Y}(y\mid X = x)$, find $\mathbb{E}[X\mid Y]$
- weak limit similiar to central limit theorem
- Probability question: two doors, select the correct door to win money, find expected earning
- Calculating $\text{Pr}(X_1<X_2)$
Trending Questions
- Induction on the number of equations
- How to convince a math teacher of this simple and obvious fact?
- Find $E[XY|Y+Z=1 ]$
- Refuting the Anti-Cantor Cranks
- What are imaginary numbers?
- Determine the adjoint of $\tilde Q(x)$ for $\tilde Q(x)u:=(Qu)(x)$ where $Q:U→L^2(Ω,ℝ^d$ is a Hilbert-Schmidt operator and $U$ is a Hilbert space
- Why does this innovative method of subtraction from a third grader always work?
- How do we know that the number $1$ is not equal to the number $-1$?
- What are the Implications of having VΩ as a model for a theory?
- Defining a Galois Field based on primitive element versus polynomial?
- Can't find the relationship between two columns of numbers. Please Help
- Is computer science a branch of mathematics?
- Is there a bijection of $\mathbb{R}^n$ with itself such that the forward map is connected but the inverse is not?
- Identification of a quadrilateral as a trapezoid, rectangle, or square
- Generator of inertia group in function field extension
Popular # Hahtags
second-order-logic
numerical-methods
puzzle
logic
probability
number-theory
winding-number
real-analysis
integration
calculus
complex-analysis
sequences-and-series
proof-writing
set-theory
functions
homotopy-theory
elementary-number-theory
ordinary-differential-equations
circles
derivatives
game-theory
definite-integrals
elementary-set-theory
limits
multivariable-calculus
geometry
algebraic-number-theory
proof-verification
partial-derivative
algebra-precalculus
Popular Questions
- What is the integral of 1/x?
- How many squares actually ARE in this picture? Is this a trick question with no right answer?
- Is a matrix multiplied with its transpose something special?
- What is the difference between independent and mutually exclusive events?
- Visually stunning math concepts which are easy to explain
- taylor series of $\ln(1+x)$?
- How to tell if a set of vectors spans a space?
- Calculus question taking derivative to find horizontal tangent line
- How to determine if a function is one-to-one?
- Determine if vectors are linearly independent
- What does it mean to have a determinant equal to zero?
- Is this Batman equation for real?
- How to find perpendicular vector to another vector?
- How to find mean and median from histogram
- How many sides does a circle have?
What would be much more useful is the time on market for the homes in the past year. If all the homes sell in the same amount of time the inventory suggests that amount of time is $\frac {12}{21}=\frac 47$ year. You could have $12$ homes that will never sell and $21$ homes that sold in one day each last year. Quoting a $10.5\%$ chance is foolish-you will never have enough data to support that level of precision. Using standard deviation and Z scores implies that you are assuming the time on market is a normal distribution. That is probably a terrible assumption-the distribution is likely much flatter than that.