Find the probability that atleast one valve is defective.

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A factory A produces $10$% defective valves and another factory $B$ produces 20% defective valves.A bag contains $4$ valves of factory $A$ and $5$ valves of factory B.If two valves are drawn at random from the bag,find the probability that at least one valve is defective.


$P(\text{at least one valve is defective})=\\=1-P(\text{none of the two valves are defective})=\\=1-\left(\frac{\binom{4}{2}}{\binom{9}{2}}(0.9)^2+\frac{\binom{5}{2}}{\binom{9}{2}}(0.8)^2+\frac{\binom{4}{1}\binom{5}{1}}{\binom{9}{2}}(0.9)(0.8)\right)=\frac{517}{1800}$,

but the answer given is $\frac{303}{1800}$ I don't know where i am wrong.

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1
On BEST ANSWER

The Probability that factory $A$ produces defective values is $\dfrac{10}{100}=\dfrac{1}{10}$

The Probability that factory $B$ produces defective values is $\dfrac{20}{100}=\dfrac{1}{5}$

Given a bag contains $4$ values of factory $A$ and $5$ values of factory $B$ and two values are drawn random.

$$P(\mbox{at least one defective})=1-P(\mbox{both are non-defective})$$ $$P(\mbox{both are non-defective})=P(\mbox{both values of factory }B)\times P(\mbox{both are non-defective})+P(\mbox{both values of factory }B)\times P(\mbox{ both are non defective})+P(\mbox{one value of $A$ and other of factory $B$})\times P(\mbox{both are nondefective})$$ $$=\dfrac{\dbinom{4}{2}}{\dbinom{9}{2}}\left(\frac{9}{10}\right)^2+\dfrac{\dbinom{5}{2}}{\dbinom{9}{2}}\left(\dfrac45\right)^2+\dfrac{\dbinom{4}{1}\cdot\binom{5}{1}}{\binom{9}{2}}\times\left(\frac{9}{10}\right)\times\left(\frac{4}{5}\right)$$ $$=\dfrac{27}{200}+\dfrac{8}{45}+\dfrac{2}{5}=\dfrac{1283}{1800}$$ Now, $P(\mbox{at least one defective})=1-\dfrac{1283}{1800}=\approx0.29$

So, the answer what you got is $\dfrac{517}{1800}\approx0.29$ which is correct.

0
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The answer is indeed $\frac{517}{1800}$, because:

$$P(\text{at least one of two defective})=1-P(\text{both normal})=\\ 1-[P(ANAN)+P(ANBN)+P(BNAN)+P(BNBN)]=\\ 1-\left[\frac{4}{9}\cdot \frac9{10}\cdot \frac38\cdot \frac9{10}+ \frac{4}{9}\cdot \frac9{10}\cdot \frac58\cdot \frac8{10}+ \frac{5}{9}\cdot \frac8{10}\cdot \frac48\cdot \frac9{10}+ \frac{5}{9}\cdot \frac8{10}\cdot \frac48\cdot \frac8{10}\right]=\\ 1-\frac{1283}{1800}=\frac{517}{1800}.$$