Flow of vector fields and inequality

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Let $X,Y$ be smooth vector fields of a manifold $M$ (equipped with a metric) and $q\in M$.

We denote by $e^{tX}q$ the point of $M$ such that we integrate the ODE $$ \dot x = X(x) $$ during time $t$ and starting from $q$.

Is it true that $$ || e^{tX}e^{sY}q||\le ||e^{tX+sY}q|| ? $$


Applying BCH formula, we get:

$$ e^{tX}e^{sY}q = e^{tX+sY+1/2st[X,Y]+\ldots} $$

but I am trying to find a counterexample to reject the inequality. I mean if $X$,$Y$ are such that $X\cdot Y\ge 0$ and $[X,Y]\le 0$, the terms in $[X,Y]$ will bring the final point closer to the initial point.

I tried on $\mathbb{R}$, with $X(x)=1$ and $Y(x)=x$ so $[X,Y]=-1$ but in fact I get the equality ...

Source : http://sci-hub.tw/10.1137/0316047

BCH