Assume we have a financial market consisting of a bond $A$, a stock $S$ and call options $f$ on the stock.
Consider only two times $0$ and $T$ and only two possible outcomes for the value of $S$ at time T.
The bond and stock values at times $0$ and $T$ are given below :
$A(0)=100$, $A(T)=120$, $S(0)=50$, $S^u(T)=70$, $S^d(T)=30$.
Construct a portfolio $\phi$ consisting only of shares of $S$ and call options (on $S$) $f$ with strike $K=50$ and expiration $T$ such that the value of $\phi$ at time $T$, $V(T)$, is $120$ regardless of whether the stock goes up or down.
What is the price of the call option?
I am having trouble understanding the question.
With a call option price at time $T$ of $\$20$, if the stock goes up the value of the portfolio would be $70 \times \frac12 − 20 = 15$ and if the stock goes down the value of the portfolio would be $30 \times \frac12 = 15$, so the portfolio would need to contain $4$ shares of the stock and $8$ options to have a value of $\$120$ whether the stock goes up or down, is this correct?
Let $\phi$ be our portfolio of $\Delta$ of a certain stock $S$ whose initial value is $S_0 \stackrel{ie}{=} 50$ and $f_n$ call options (on $S$) $f$ whose strike price is $K \stackrel{ie}{=} 50$ and maturity/expiration is $T$.
Our portfolio's value is given by $V_t(\phi) = (S_t)(\Delta) - (f_t)(f_n)$ for $t=0,T$
where $f_T = (S_T - K)^{+}$
Then we have:
$$V_0(\phi) = (S_0)(\Delta) - (f_0)(f_n)$$
$$\stackrel{ie}{=} 50(\Delta) - (f_0)(f_n)$$
$$V_T(\phi) = S_T\Delta - f_n(S_T - K)^{+}$$
Proof:
$$V_T^u(\phi) = S^u_T\Delta - f_n(S^u_T - K)^{+} = 70\Delta - 20f_n \stackrel{set}{=} X$$
$$V_T^d(\phi) = S^d_T\Delta - f_n(S^d_T - K)^{+} = 30\Delta \stackrel{set}{=} X$$
QED
The value of the portfolio $\phi$ at time $0$ for such $\Delta$ and $f_n$ is given by
$$V_0(\phi) = (S_0)(X/30) - (f_0)(X/15) = (50/30)(X) - (f_0)(X/15)$$
Also
$$V_0(\phi) = V_T(\phi)e^{-rT} \ \text{Why?}$$
$$ = Xe^{-rT}$$
$$ = Xe^{-(\ln(120/100))} \ \text{Why?}$$
Hence
$$f_0 = \frac{(50/30)(X)-(X)e^{-(\ln(120/100))}}{X/15}$$
$$ = 15((50/30)-\frac{1}{e^{\ln(120/100)}})$$
$$ = 15((50/30)-\frac{1}{120/100})$$
$$ = 15(5/6)$$
$$= 12.5$$