Implications between $\mathbb P [\tau < \infty] =1 $ and $\tau \in L_1 (\mathbb P)$

120 Views Asked by At

We've got the usual filtered stochastic basis $(\Omega, \mathcal F, (\mathcal F_n). \mathbb P), \space \tau : \Omega \to \mathbb{N}\cup \{\infty\}, [\tau \le n] \in \mathcal F_n$

($\tau$ is an $\mathcal F_n$ stopping time).

I'm wondering whether the implication below holds:

$$\tau \in L^1 ( \mathbb P) \Rightarrow \mathbb P [\tau < \infty]=1$$

I think it should hold, because

$$\tau \in L^1 ( \mathbb P) \Rightarrow \mathbb E [\tau] =\int_{\Omega}\tau d \mathbb P < \infty \\ \mathbb P [\tau < \infty] = \int_{[\tau < \infty]} d \mathbb P \le \int_{\Omega} d \mathbb P \le \int_{\Omega}\tau d \mathbb P < \infty $$

The only problem I can see is that $$\int_{\Omega} d \mathbb P \le \int_{\Omega}\tau d \mathbb P $$ might not hold in general. For instance if $X \sim N(0,\sigma^2)$ we've got $\mathbb P (\Omega) =1$ and $\mathbb{E} X =0$. So is this the reason why my proof does not work?

1

There are 1 best solutions below

6
On BEST ANSWER

The implication holds for any random variable, not just stopping times. It easily seen by showing the contrapositive: $$ P(X<\infty)<1\;\Rightarrow\;X\notin L^1(P). $$ So suppose $P(X<\infty)<1$, then $P(X=\infty)>0$ and hence $$ {\rm E}[|X|]\geq{\rm E}[|X|\mathbf{1}_{\{X=\infty\}}]=\infty\cdot P(X=\infty)=\infty, $$ and hence $X\notin L^1(P)$. The other implication, however, does not hold in general.