Odds of hitting a circle of a given radius from a given distance

99 Views Asked by At

Suppose we have a point in 2D space, and a circle with radius $R$ a distance $D$ from the point. If someone was to move out from the point at an arbitrary, uniformly distributed, angle in a straight line forever, what are the odds, as a function of $R$ and $D$, the path chosen would intersect with the circle? I got an equation through geometric construction, but I'm not sure it's accurate.

$P(R,D)={R\over{\pi D}}$

I created the image attached to illustrate my thoughts. The red circle represents the point, and the blue circle represents the circle.

Preferably, I'd like a solution that generalizes to 3D and potentially non-circular objects.

Image

1

There are 1 best solutions below

4
On BEST ANSWER

The rays that just contact either side of the small circle will be tangent to the small circle. The angle between these two rays will be $2*\sin^{-1}(\frac{R}{R+D})$, using Pythagorean Theorem. So, the probability is given by $P(R,D) = \frac{\sin^{-1}(\frac{R}{R+D})}{\pi}$.