One of my teachers asked all 26 ($t$) of the students in our class to randomly choose 5 ($k$) exercises from a website from a set of 20 ($n$). He then said that no two students in the class should have 3 ($s$) or more of the same exercises solved. I want to know the probability of two students in the class having 3 ($s$) of the same exercises solved. I know if $s$ was equal to $k$, it would be the same as the birthday problem with ($n$ choose $k$) days and a room of $t$, but what about the other case of $s<k$?
2026-02-23 06:29:36.1771828176
Probability of match in three elements choosing from a group
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Too long for a comment:
Looking at this again, I am now convinced that the probability of satisfying the teacher's conditions is extremely small, and might even be $0$.
A simulation of $10^5$ cases found no examples (the closest had $7$ pairs of students with $3$ or more matches) and the variance of the number of students with too many matches was smaller than the mean, so the distribution looks tighter than a Poisson distribution: the chart below gives shows the results from the simulation, plus a Poisson distribution with the same mean in shown as a grey line