Me and a few classmates were working through a probability & statistics past paper:
We have two coins denoted H1 and H2. Coin H1 is fair, i.e. $P(h) = P(t)$ $= 1/2$, $h$ being head and $t$ being tail. Coin H2 is loaded with $P(h) = 3/5$. We pick one of the coins at random, toss it and head shows. What is the probability that we picked the loaded coin?
The answers says that it is $\frac{6}{11}$, but we have no clue how they got to this answer....
Hint : You have to use Bayes theorem.