Probability of unbiased die

1k Views Asked by At

One of the numbers 1,2,...,6 is to be chosen by casting an unbiased die.Let this random experiment be repeated five independent times.Let this random variable $X_1$ be the number of termination in the set {$x:x=1,2,3$} and let the random variable $X_2$ be the number of terminations in the set {$x:x=4,5$}.Compute $P(X_1=2, X_2=1)$. I do not know how to begin with.. please help.. I only have the pmf of x which Binomial with n=5 and p=1/6.

1

There are 1 best solutions below

0
On

You have a multinomial distribution, with parameters $n=5, p_1=3/6, p_2=2/6$. (Pedantically, it's as trinomial distribution.)

Going back to first principles, just as a binomial distribution's probability mass function is determined by taking the probability of a obtaining so many successes and failures in a certain sequence and multiplying by the count of permutations, we apply the same method to determine the pmf of a multinomial distribution with each of $n$ trials partitioned by several types of disjoint successes and a failure.

$\begin{align} \text{Binomial Distribution} & \quad\mathcal{Bin}(n; p_1) \\[1ex] \mathsf P(X_1\!=\!x_1) & = \frac{n!}{x_1!\;(1-x_1)!}\;p_1^{x_1}\;(1-p_1)^{n-x_1} \\[2ex] \text{Multinomial Distribution} & \quad\mathcal{Mult}(n;p_1,p_2,1-p_1-p_2) \\[1ex] \mathsf P(X_1\!=\!x_1, X_2\!=\!x_2) & = \frac{n!}{x_1!\;x_2!\;(1-x_1-x_2)!}\;p_1^{x_1}\;p_2^{x_2}\;(1-p_1-p_2)^{n-x_1-x_2} \end{align}$