Probability Sum

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A purchasing agent must decide to accept or reject an incoming shipment of machine parts. The agent wishes to do either of the following: a1: Accept the shipment a2: Reject the shipment The fraction of defective parts in the shipment is either 0.1 or 0.5 with a prior likelihood of each occurring being 0.5. The costs associated with the possible decisions are €1500 if a 0.1 shipment is rejected and €1000 if a 0.5 shipment is accepted. No costs are incurred if a 0.1 shipment is accepted or a 0.5 shipment is rejected. It is possible to test one part from a shipment as a cost of €10.

(iii) Determine the optimal strategy, that is, what action to take in response to sample outcomes. Show the results of workings on a decision tree.

Decision Tree: enter image description here enter image description here enter image description here

I'm having trouble getting the third part and I don't know where they go the answer from.

Probability of shipment 1 given test result Ok = where did they get these figures from and how did they do it. 0.17 0.64 0.83 0.36

Hope you can help thank you.

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They merely applied the formula that they stated,

$$ P(\theta_j\mid O_k)=\frac{P(\theta_j\cap O_k)}{P(O_k)}\;, $$

which is the standard formula for the conditional probability. For instance, for $j=k=1$,

$$ P(\theta_1\mid O_1)=\frac{P(\theta_1\cap O_1)}{P(O_1)}=\frac{0.05}{0.3}=\frac16\approx0.17\;, $$

where $P(\theta_1\cap O_1)=0.05$ is taken from the previous table and $P(O_1)=0.3$ is stated to the right of that table.