Recursive relation between conditional expectations

263 Views Asked by At

Let $\epsilon _n$ and $\eta _n$ iid random variables (and the sequences are independent of each other) such that $\epsilon _n \sim \mathcal{N}(0, \sigma ^2)$ and $\eta _n \sim \mathcal{N}(0, \delta ^2)$. Let $X_0=0$, $X_{n+1}=a_nX_n+\epsilon_{n+1}$ and $Y_n=cX_n+\eta_n$ where $c$ and $a_n$ are positive constants. Put $\widehat{X_{n/n}}=E(X_n|Y_0,\ldots ,Y_n$) and $\widehat{X_{n/n-1}}=E(X_n|Y_0,\ldots ,Y_{n-1}$). I want to show that $$\widehat{X_{n/n}}=\widehat{X_{n/n-1}}+\frac{E(X_nZ_n)}{E(Z_n^2)}Z_n $$ where $Z_n=Y_n-c\widehat{X_{n/n-1}}$, but my attempts didn't suceed.