I am trying to prove the following for $n > 1$.
$$\sum_{k=0}^n (-1)^k \binom{n}{k} \max\{0,n-2k\}^{n-1} > 0.$$
From numerical computations, this seems to be true, but I am struggling to find a simple proof.
Attempt: I noticed that by an inclusion-exclusion argument, one can show that the following similar expression is exactly zero. $$\sum_{k=0}^n (-1)^k \binom{n}{k} (n-k)^{n-1} = 0.$$ Since the addends of the latter sum are larger in magnitude than those of the former sum, and both sums begin with the same term $n^{n-1}$, I was hoping this would help, but it seems this is not quite enough. (Take for example $5 - 10 + 5 = 0$ vs $5 - 8 + 2 = -1$.)
I tried to interpret the original sum as an inclusion-exclusion argument itself, but the $\max\{0, n-2k\}$ is difficult to interpret in a combinatorial situation.
As noted in the comments, I could rewrite the first sum as $$\sum_{k=0}^{\lfloor n/2 \rfloor} (-1)^k \binom{n}{k} (n-2k)^{n-1},$$ but this does not help me too much in either of my above approaches.
The desired inequality would hold if the addends were decreasing in magnitude. But unfortunately this is not true either: see @saulspatz's answer below along with my comments there.
The following observation is proved in this answer:
So the positivity of the quantity in question corresponds to the above observation with $d = 2/n$ and $n \geq 2$, which can be easily shown to be positive by geometric argument. For instance, we may bound the probability in the left-hand side from below by
$$ \mathbb{P}\left( \left| U_1 - \frac{1}{n} \right| < \epsilon, \cdots, \left| U_{n-1} - \frac{n-1}{n} \right| < \epsilon \right) $$
for sufficiently small $\epsilon > 0$, such as $\epsilon = \frac{1}{2n}$.