Is it possible to find the probability distribution of the random variable $X$ that solves the following equation? $$ X = Bin(X, p) + Bin(X, 1-p), $$ where $Bin(X,p)$ is a random variable distributed according to a binomial distribution with parameters $X$ and $p$, $p \in (0, 1)$, the two random variables on the right side are independent.
2026-04-01 12:55:56.1775048156
Solution of equation of binomial random variables
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To show this, first recall that, for every random variable $Y$ binomial $(n,p)$ and every $|s|\leqslant1$, the generating function of $Y$ is $$E(s^Y)=(ps+q)^n.$$ Considering $g(s)=E(s^X)$, the identity in distribution in the question translates as $$g(s)=g(ps+q)g(qs+p). $$ Considering $h(t)=-\log g(1-t)$, one gets $$h(t)=h(pt)+h(qt). $$ Iterating this, one gets, for every $n\geqslant1$, $$ h(t)=\sum_{k=0}^n{n\choose k}h(p^kq^{n-k}t). $$ Assume that $X$ is integrable with $\lambda=E(X)$, then $g(1-t)=1-\lambda t+o(t)$ when $t\to0$. If $\lambda=0$, $X=0$ with full probability. Otherwise, $h(t)\sim\lambda t$ when $t\to0$.
Fix some $\lambda'\lt\lambda$, then $h(t)\geqslant\lambda' t$ for every $t$ small enough. When $n\to\infty$, $p^kq^{n-k}\to0$ uniformly in $k$, hence, for every $t$ in $(0,1)$, for every $n$ large enough, $$ h(t)\geqslant\sum_{k=0}^n{n\choose k}\lambda'p^kq^{n-k}t=\lambda' t. $$ The same iteration shows that, for every $\lambda''\gt\lambda$, $h(t)\leqslant\lambda''t$, thus, $h(t)=\lambda t$ for every $t$ in $(0,1)$, that is, $g(s)=\mathrm e^{-\lambda(1-s)}$ for every $s$ in $(0,1)$, which means that $X$ is Poisson with parameter $\lambda$.
If $X$ is a non integrable solution, then, for every $\lambda$, $h(t)\geqslant\lambda t$ for every $t$ small enough, and yet again the same reasoning yields $h(t)\geqslant\lambda t$ for every $t$, hence $h(t)$ is infinite, that is, $g(s)=0$, which is absurd.