So I have a problem that says:
A fair coin is tossed repeatedly. $Y$ is the number of the toss on which the 3rd $H$ appears.
find $P(Y=4)$
When I approached this problem I thought I'd try the binomial theorem and used $p = .5$ and $X = 4$ and $n = 3$. but when I looked at the answer i do get $\left(\begin{array}{c}3\\2\end{array}\right)\left(\dfrac{1}{2}\right)^4$, but no $(1-p)^{n-x}$ like I the binomial distribution formula said. The answers also showed the same type of solution for $Y = 5, 6, 7,$ etc.
so why is the $(1-p)^{n-x}$ part taken off?
To get the third head on the fourth toss, one of the following sequences of tosses must occur: HHTH, HTHH, THHH. It's now clear that the probability is $3/16$.
In general, don't forget the $Y$-th toss must be a head.