What is the probability of rolling a duplicate in the difference of a group of m d6 rolls from a group of n d6 rolls?

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Suppose you roll 3 white 6-sided dice (d6) and 3 black 6-sided dice. Any black dice numbers cancel out any corresponding white dice numbers. (The multiset of white dice numbers minus the multiset of black numbers)

Example:

  • For white dice, you roll (1, 2, 2)
  • For black dice, you roll (2, 3, 4)
  • The result is (1, 2)

Example:

  • White dice: (1, 1, 2)
  • Black dice: (2, 5, 6)
  • Result: (1, 1)

What is the probability that the result will have any duplicates? (Any repeating numbers)

General Question: For n white-dice, and m black dice, what is the probability that the difference of the white dice group subtracted by the black dice group will have any duplicates?

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Let $W$ denote the number of rolls with the white die that result in $1$.

Let $B$ denote the number of rolls with the black die that result in $1$.

Then the probability on a duplicate of $1$ equals:$$P(W=3\wedge B\leq1)+P(W=2\wedge B=0)=P(W=3)P(B\leq1)+P(W=2)P(B=0)$$

This can be found with binomial distribution.

The probability on a duplicate is $6$ times this probability because the events (a duplicate of $1$, a duplicate of $2$, et cetera) are mutually exclusive.