Characterisation of conditional expectation, $Z = \mathbb{E}[X|G]$

84 Views Asked by At

Let $(Ω, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space, where $|Ω| < ∞ $ and $\mathcal{F}$ is a power set of $Ω$. Let $\mathcal{G} ⊆ \mathcal{F}$ a further $σ-$algebra, that is generated by partition $B_1, . . . , B_k$. Let $Z$ be a $\mathcal{G}-$ measuravle random variable, such that for all $B ∈ \mathcal{G},\;$ $\mathbb{E} I_BZ = \mathbb{E}I_BX $. Show, that $Z = \mathbb{E}[X|G]$

Random variable $X : Ω → \mathbb{R}$ is $\mathcal{G-}$ measurable, iff for all $a ∈ \mathbb{R}:$ $$\{X ≤ a\} = X^{−1}((−∞, a]) ∈ \mathcal{G}.$$

Let $\mathcal{G}$ be a $σ-$algebra with partition $B_1, . . . , B_k.$ Then we define the conditional expecation of $X$ given $\mathcal{G}$ defined: $$\mathbb{E}[X|\mathcal{G}] := \sum_{i=1}^{k}I_{B_i}\mathbb{E}[X|Bi].$$

I would appreciate any kind of help, I am really stuck on this. I understand, that this is a different characterisation of conditional expectation. I was thinking about the null set, but wasn't sure how to apply it in this contest.

Question: How to show, that $Z = \mathbb{E}[X|G]$

1

There are 1 best solutions below

2
On BEST ANSWER
  • Since $\mathcal{G}$ is generated by a finite partition $B_1, \ldots, B_k$, show that a $\mathcal{G}$-measurable random variable $Z$ is necessarily constant on each $B_i$. (That is, if $\omega$ and $\omega'$ are both in $B_i$, then $Z(\omega) = Z(\omega')$.)
  • Thus it suffices to find the value that $Z$ takes on each $B_i$. The condition on $Z$ implies $E[I_{B_i} X] = E[I_{B_i} Z]$, but since $Z$ is some constant $z_i$ on $B_i$, we have $E[I_{B_i} X] = z_i P(B_i)$. Thus the value $z_i$ that $Z$ takes on $B_i$ is $E[I_{B_i} X] / P(B_i) =: E[X \mid B_i]$.