I and three friends are playing a game of Open Face Chinese Poker involving a standard deck of 52 cards. Player X got a Queen Fantasy land which means the next time the game is played, he will get the first 14 cards from the deck.
The question is this: Is there any difference in probability of getting a Flush between these 2 situations:
- The first 14 cards are given first to player X, then the rest of the cards are distributed sequentially between the other players
- The cards are distributed sequentially to the other players first, then player X receives the last 14 cards
I felt that it is different and situation 1 is more advantageous to player X, but I cannot prove it mathematically.
A deck of cards is simply a permutation of the cards in a row. It doesn't matter which 14 cards you give him (the top 14, the bottom 14, the middle 14, the ones in the first 14 odd places and so on) he has the same probability to get the same hand.
The idea of the proof is symmetry and the following is a great simple example: you draw one card of the deck. Does the probability of it being king changes if you draw the first card or ignore the first and take the second?