In chapter 4.4 the authors of PDE and Martingale Methods in Option Pricing do the following: They take a filtered proabability space $(\Omega,\mathcal A,(\mathcal F_t)_{t\in[0,\:T]},\operatorname P)$ and an $\mathcal F$-progressively measurable $u:\Omega\times[0,T]\to\mathbb R$ with $\operatorname P\left[u\in\mathcal L^2\left(\left.\lambda^1\right|_{[0,\:T]}\right)\right]=1$ (where $\lambda^1$ denotes the Lebesgue measure on $\mathbb R$) and define $$A_t(\omega):=\begin{cases}\displaystyle\int_0^tu(\omega)^2\:{\rm d}\lambda^1&\text{, if }u(\omega)\in\mathcal L^2\left(\left.\lambda^1\right|_{[0,\:T]}\right)\\0&\text{, otherwise}\end{cases}\;\;\;\text{for }(\omega,t)\in\Omega\times[0,T]\;.$$ We can show that $A$ is an $\mathcal F$-adapted continuous stochastic process on $(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$. Now, they define $$\tau_n:=\inf\left\{t\in[0,T]:A_t\ge n\right\}\wedge T$$ for $n\in\mathbb N$ and state that $$\operatorname P\left[\tau_n\xrightarrow{n\to\infty}T\right]=1\tag 1$$ and $$\bigcup_{n\in\mathbb N}F_n=\Omega\setminus N\tag 2$$ for some $\operatorname P$-null set $N$ and $$F_n:=\left\{\tau_n=T\right\}=\left\{A_T\le n\right\}\;.\tag 3$$
I've got vaarious problems with $(1)$, $(2)$ and $(3)$:
- It's clear that each $\tau_n$ is an $\mathcal F$-stopping time with $\tau_n\le\tau_{n+1}$. However, isn't it obvious that $$\tau_n\xrightarrow{n\to\infty}T\tag{3'}$$ holds surely? Why do they state that $(3')$ only holds with probability $1$?
- Isn't the equality in $(3)$ wrong? It's clear that $t\mapsto A_t$ is increasing. Let $$\tau_n':=\inf\left\{t\in[0,T]:A_t>n\right\}\;.$$ Then, $$\left\{A_T\le n\right\}\subseteq\left\{\tau_n'=T\right\}\;,$$ but the other inclusion doesn't seem to hold. So, what's really correct?
- What is $N$ exactly? I guess $N=\left\{\Phi\not\in\mathcal L^2\left(\left.\lambda^1\right|_{[0,\:T]}\right)\right\}$, but that doesn't make sense (for the same reason why $(1)$ doesn't make sense). On the one hand, the author set $A=0$ on this $N$. On the other hand, he acts as he hadn't done this.
This is an answer to 2.
Let $\omega\in\left\{\tau_n=T\right\}$. Either $A_T(\omega)\ge n$ or $A_T(\omega)<n$. In the second case, we're done. In the first case, $$A_t(\omega)<n\;\;\;\text{for all }t\in[0,T)\tag 4$$ (by definition of $\tau_n(\omega)=T$) and since $A$ is continuous, we obtain $$A_T(\omega)=\lim_{t\to T-}A_t(\omega)\le n\tag 5\;.$$ Thus, $$A_T(\omega)=n\;.\tag 6$$ So, we can conclude that $$\left\{\tau_n=T\right\}=\left\{A_T=n\right\}\cup\left\{A_T<n\right\}=\left\{A_T\le n\right\}\;.\tag 7$$