Example question
It is known that 30% of all laptops of a certain brand experience hard-drive failure within 3 years of purchase. Suppose that 20 laptops are selected at random. Let the random variable $X$ denote the number of laptops which have experienced hard-drive failure within 3 years of purchase.
If it is known that at least 3 laptops experience hard-drive failure, what is the probability that no more than 6 laptops will experience hard-drive failure?
I know $X\sim\operatorname{Bin}(20,0.3)$.
I know how to calculate probabilities like $P(X = x), P(X \gt x), P(X \ge x),$ and $P(X \le x).$
Relevant formulae:
$$P(X = x) = {n \choose p}p^x(1-p)^{n-x}$$ $$P(X \gt x) = 1 - P(X \leq x)$$
and if $X$ is discrete,
$$P(X \ge x) = 1 - P(X \leq (x-1))$$
Additionally, what if the question was:
If it is known that at least 3 laptops experience hard-drive failure, what is the probability that at least 6 laptops will experience hard-drive failure?
or
If it is known that no more than 6 laptops experience hard-drive failure, what is the probability that at least 3 laptops will experience hard-drive failure?
$$ \Pr(X\le 6 \mid X\ge 3) = \frac{\Pr(X\le6\ \&\ X\ge 3)}{\Pr(X\ge 3)} = \frac{\Pr(X=3\text{ or } X=4 \text{ or } X=5 \text{ or }X=6)}{1 - \Pr(X=0\text{ or }X=1\text{ or } X=2) } $$