Let $n,k\in \mathbb{N}$ where $n\geq k\geq 4$ and they are even. Let's create a $K_{n,n}$ bipartite graph with $n$ random edges chosen uniformly. Take random $k$ edges $e_1, e_2, \dots, e_k$ from $K_{n,n}$. What is the propability that $e_1, e_2, \dots, e_k$ form a $C_k$ cycle?
It's clear that in a $K_{n,n}$ there are at most ${n \choose k/2}^2$ cycles of length $k$. So I think I should find first the probability of having $C_k$ in $K_{n,n}$, because it doesn't necessarily exist.
In a graph with $n$ edges and $x$ cycles of length $k$, the probability that $k$ randomly chosen edges will form a cycle is $x/\binom nk$.
In a random $n$-edge subgraph of $K_{n,n}$, the number of $k$-cycles is itself a random variable $\mathbf X$, so by the law of total probability, the probability that $k$ randomly chosen edges will form a cycle is $\mathbb E[\mathbf X]/\binom nk$.
We can compute $\mathbb E[\mathbf X]$ by linearity of expectation. First, we should find the number of $k$-cycles in $K_{n,n}$, which is I believe $\frac1k (\frac{n!}{(n-k/2)!})^2$ for even $k$. For each $k$-cycle, the probability that it appears in the random $n$-edge subgraph is $\binom{n^2-k}{n-k}/\binom{n^2}{n}$.
Multiply these together, and we have a somewhat terrifying expression for the probability you want.