Probability of winning the world series (Giants vs Yankees)

595 Views Asked by At

What is the probability that the Giants will win the World Series against the Yankees if the probability that they win a given game is 0.6? Winning 4 games means you win the series (7 total games).

I'm thinking binomial probability given they have to win "at least 4 games":

$P(x) = {7\choose4}(0.6)^4(0.4)^3 + {7\choose5}(0.6)^5(0.4)^2 + {7\choose6}(0.6)^6(0.4)^1 + {7\choose7}(0.6)^7(0.4)^0$

Am I on the right track?

1

There are 1 best solutions below

0
On BEST ANSWER

Yes, you are correct, and the method you used is the simplest for such problems.

The logic is that once the Giants win $4$ games at any stage, they win, whatever happens later.