Three digit number even and greater than $500$

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I am reading the following problem:

The digits $1$,$2$,$3$,$4$,$5$ are randomly arranged to form a three digit number (digits are not repeated). What is the probability that the number is even and greater than $500$?

My solution:
There are $5\cdot 4 \cdot 3$ ways to form the number in total.
In order to be greater than $500$ the first digit must be $5$ and in order to be even the last digit must be either $2$ or $4$. So there is $1$ way to select the first digit, $2$ ways to select the last and $2$ ways to select the middle one (either $3$ or $4$) i.e. $2\cdot 2\cdot 1$ = $4$ ways
Therefore the probability is: $\frac{4}{60}=\frac{1}{15}$

But the solution mentions $\frac{1}{10}$.
What am I doing wrong here?

2

There are 2 best solutions below

7
On

J Moravitz' comment addresses the flaw.

The easiest alternative approach is that there are $D = 5!$ numbers possible, of which $4!$ of the numbers start with the digit $5.$ By symmetry, there are $N = \frac{4!}{2}$ such numbers that are even. So the desired probability is $\frac{N}{D}.$

Addendum
Per OP's request, I will combine his analysis with the analysis inherent in the comments of J Moravitz to provide an alternative direct approach to the problem.

As in the start of my answer, the computation will be

$$\frac{N}{D}, ~~\text{where}~~ D = 5!.$$

The leftmost digit must be $5$. The rightmost digit must be either $2$ or $4$. I will let $N_1$ denote the number of possibilities where the rightmost digit is $2$. Then, by symmetry, $N = 2 \times N_1$.

With the leftmost and rightmost digits being $5$ and $2$ respectively, the other 3 digits, $1,3,4$ can be permuted in $3!$ ways to fill in the 3 middle digits.

Therefore, $N_1 = 3!$ and $N = 2 \times 3!$.

0
On

The total space of events consists of $ 5*4*3 = 60 $ 3-digit numbers, consisting of non-repeating digits $ 1, 2, 3, 4$ and $5 $.

Of them, only those that start with $5$ and end with $2$ or $4$ are even greater than $500$.

If the last digit is "$2$", then the second digit is any of $1, 3,$ and$ 4$ ($3$ possibilities).

If the last digit is "$4$", then the second digit is any of $1, 3,$ and $2$ ($3$ possibilities).

In all, there are $3+3 = 6$ of these "eligible" numbers.

So the probability will be $ \frac{6}{60} $