Any help on the following will be much appreciated!
I am trying to prove that $Y_t = {B_t}^2 - t$ is a martingale, where $B_t$ is a Brownian motion with respect to the sigma field $\mathcal F_s$.
However, I do not understand why $$(B_t - B_s)^2, \,s < t$$ is independent of $\mathcal F_s$.
- In fact, I do not fully appreciate what $B_t$ having independent increments means...
Nevertheless, I know $Y_s = E[Y_t|\mathcal F_s]$ can be shown as such:
Consider \begin{align} E[{B_t}^2|\mathcal F_s]&= E[(B_s + B_t - B_s)^2|\mathcal F_s] \\&= E[{B_s}^2 + 2B_s(B_t - B_s) + (B_t - B_s)^2|\mathcal F_s] \\& = E[{B_t}^2|\mathcal F_s] + 2B_sE[B_t - B_s|\mathcal F_s] +E[(B_t - B_s)^2|\mathcal F_s] \\&= {B_s}^2 + 2B_sE[B_t - B_s]+E[(B_t - B_s)^2] \\& = {B_s}^2 + t -s \end{align}
then consider $E[{B_t}^2 - t|\mathcal F_s]$ and we're done.
Thanks!
Independent increments means that for $t>s$, the random variable $B_t-B_s$ is independent of the $\sigma$-algebra at time $s$, i.e. independent of $\mathcal{F}_s=\sigma(\cup_{v\leq s} B_v)$. In fact, for Brownian motion, $B_t-B_s\sim \mathcal{N}(0,t-s)$ and is independent of $\mathcal{F}_s$. Of course, this implies $(B_t-B_s)^2$ is also independent of $\mathcal{F}_s$. As for why this is the case, it will follow from whatever construction of Brownian motion was used.
Intuitively, this is saying that knowing the entire history of the Brownian motion up until time $s$, the difference between where it is in the future at time $t$ and where it is now is normally distributed with variance proportional to the length of the increment.