If a gambler were to play in a fair game, lets say he wins/loses 1 dollar with equal probability in each step. Let $X_i$ denote the amount of money he has after $i$ steps. And he plays until he either runs out of money or decides to stop, in which case he cashes in what he currently has. Let us denote this stopping time as $T$. Then starting with $n$ dollars, if $E(T)<\infty$ using optional stopping theorem one can show that $E(X_T)=n$. However this is no longer applicable if $E(T)=\infty$. Could there potentially be a strategy for the gambler such that $E(T)=\infty$ and $E(X_T)>n$?
2026-03-28 07:53:39.1774684419
betting in fair game over infinite horizon, is it possible to win?
149 Views Asked by Bumbble Comm https://math.techqa.club/user/bumbble-comm/detail At
1
There are 1 best solutions below
Related Questions in PROBABILITY
- How to prove $\lim_{n \rightarrow\infty} e^{-n}\sum_{k=0}^{n}\frac{n^k}{k!} = \frac{1}{2}$?
- Is this a commonly known paradox?
- What's $P(A_1\cap A_2\cap A_3\cap A_4) $?
- Prove or disprove the following inequality
- Another application of the Central Limit Theorem
- Given is $2$ dimensional random variable $(X,Y)$ with table. Determine the correlation between $X$ and $Y$
- A random point $(a,b)$ is uniformly distributed in a unit square $K=[(u,v):0<u<1,0<v<1]$
- proving Kochen-Stone lemma...
- Solution Check. (Probability)
- Interpreting stationary distribution $P_{\infty}(X,V)$ of a random process
Related Questions in EXPECTED-VALUE
- Show that $\operatorname{Cov}(X,X^2)=0$ if X is a continuous random variable with symmetric distribution around the origin
- prove that $E(Y) = 0$ if $X$ is a random variable and $Y = x- E(x)$
- Limit of the expectation in Galton-Watson-process using a Martingale
- Determine if an Estimator is Biased (Unusual Expectation Expression)
- Why are negative constants removed from variance?
- How to find $\mathbb{E}(X\mid\mathbf{1}_{X<Y})$ where $X,Y$ are i.i.d exponential variables?
- $X_1,X_2,X_3 \sim^{\text{i.i.d}} R(0,1)$. Find $E(\frac{X_1+X_2}{X_1+X_2+X_3})$
- How to calculate the conditional mean of $E(X\mid X<Y)$?
- Let X be a geometric random variable, show that $E[X(X-1)...(X-r+1)] = \frac{r!(1-p)^r}{p^r}$
- Taylor expansion of expectation in financial modelling problem
Related Questions in MARTINGALES
- CLT for Martingales
- Find Expected Value of Martingale $X_n$
- Need to find Conditions to get a (sub-)martingale
- Martingale conditional expectation
- Sum of two martingales
- Discrete martingale stopping time
- Optional Stopping Theorem for martingales
- Prove that the following is a martingale
- Are all martingales uniformly integrable
- Cross Variation of stochatic integrals
Related Questions in RANDOM-WALK
- Random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^2$
- Density distribution of random walkers in a unit sphere with an absorbing boundary
- Monkey Random walk using binomial distribution
- Find probability function of random walk, stochastic processes
- Random walk with probability $p \neq 1$ of stepping at each $\Delta t$
- Average distance between consecutive points in a one-dimensional auto-correlated sequence
- Return probability random walk
- Random Walk: Quantiles, average and maximal walk
- motion on the surface of a 3-sphere
- Probability of symmetric random walk being in certain interval on nth step
Related Questions in GAMBLING
- optimal strategy for drawing a deck of cards
- Problem in defining an event in Gambler's ruin
- Optimal wager strategy for high win chance / high odds game
- Statistics based gambling
- Where am I going wrong in interpreting this problem as a gambler's ruin problem?
- Can there be a mathematical proof that a roulette player will lose?
- Card Game Odds In-Between
- What is the probability of 4 players all getting a straight in a game of 5 card poker
- Better to bet $\$50$ once or $\$25$ twice?
- An event has a 90.1 percent chance of happening. What is the probability of of triggering this event 70 times consecutively
Trending Questions
- Induction on the number of equations
- How to convince a math teacher of this simple and obvious fact?
- Find $E[XY|Y+Z=1 ]$
- Refuting the Anti-Cantor Cranks
- What are imaginary numbers?
- Determine the adjoint of $\tilde Q(x)$ for $\tilde Q(x)u:=(Qu)(x)$ where $Q:U→L^2(Ω,ℝ^d$ is a Hilbert-Schmidt operator and $U$ is a Hilbert space
- Why does this innovative method of subtraction from a third grader always work?
- How do we know that the number $1$ is not equal to the number $-1$?
- What are the Implications of having VΩ as a model for a theory?
- Defining a Galois Field based on primitive element versus polynomial?
- Can't find the relationship between two columns of numbers. Please Help
- Is computer science a branch of mathematics?
- Is there a bijection of $\mathbb{R}^n$ with itself such that the forward map is connected but the inverse is not?
- Identification of a quadrilateral as a trapezoid, rectangle, or square
- Generator of inertia group in function field extension
Popular # Hahtags
second-order-logic
numerical-methods
puzzle
logic
probability
number-theory
winding-number
real-analysis
integration
calculus
complex-analysis
sequences-and-series
proof-writing
set-theory
functions
homotopy-theory
elementary-number-theory
ordinary-differential-equations
circles
derivatives
game-theory
definite-integrals
elementary-set-theory
limits
multivariable-calculus
geometry
algebraic-number-theory
proof-verification
partial-derivative
algebra-precalculus
Popular Questions
- What is the integral of 1/x?
- How many squares actually ARE in this picture? Is this a trick question with no right answer?
- Is a matrix multiplied with its transpose something special?
- What is the difference between independent and mutually exclusive events?
- Visually stunning math concepts which are easy to explain
- taylor series of $\ln(1+x)$?
- How to tell if a set of vectors spans a space?
- Calculus question taking derivative to find horizontal tangent line
- How to determine if a function is one-to-one?
- Determine if vectors are linearly independent
- What does it mean to have a determinant equal to zero?
- Is this Batman equation for real?
- How to find perpendicular vector to another vector?
- How to find mean and median from histogram
- How many sides does a circle have?
Assuming that $T < \infty$ a.s., there is no way for $\mathbb{E}[X_T] > n$ if we enforce the no debt condition $X_m \ge 0$ for all $m$.
For any $m$ we have $\mathbb{E}[X_{T \wedge m}] = n$ by the optional stopping theorem (since $T \wedge m$ is a stopping time with finite expectation), and since $T < \infty$ a.s., $\lim_{m \rightarrow \infty} X_{T \wedge m} = X_T$ a.s. Since $X_{T \wedge m} \ge 0$ for all $m$, by Fatou's lemma we have \begin{align*} \mathbb{E}[X_T] = \mathbb{E}[\lim_{m \rightarrow \infty}X_{T \wedge m}] \le \liminf_{m \rightarrow \infty} \mathbb{E}[X_{T \wedge m}] \le n. \end{align*}
If we allow $\mathbb{P}(T = \infty) > 0$, it's unclear how to define $X_T$ on the event $\{T = \infty\}$.