Let $Y, X_1, . . . , X_n$ be continuous random variables (not necessarily independent) with non negative range, i.e. $P(Y < 0) = 0$ and $P(X_i < 0) = 0$ for $i = 1 \ldots n$, verifying the following property concerning the conditional expectation:
(1) $E[Y | X_1 + ... + X_n = u] \geq E[Y | X_1 + ... + X_n = v]$
for arbitrary positive reals $u \geq v$. Is there anyone who is able to prove that (1) implies
(2) $E[Y | X_1 = w] \geq E[Y | X_1 = z]$
for arbitrary positive reals $w \geq z$ ? Also a counterexample which prove that this is not always the case would be welcome.
Counterexample: Let $X_3$ be a random variable that satisfies $E[X_1|X_3 = u] \geq E[X_1|X_3 = v]$ whenever $u \geq v$. Let $X_2$ be a random variable that does not satisfy $E[X_1|X_2 = u] \geq E[X_1|X_2 = v]$ whenever $u \geq v$. Let $X_4 = -X_2$.