I have two coins. I want to find the probability of getting one head if I peek and tell you that at least one of the coins is definitely a head when two coins are tossed? Please let me know the my answer is whether correct or not?
This is my solution When two coins are tossed, we have 4 outcomes are equally likely: HH, HT, TH, TT.
Let A be the event that getting one head $A=\{H\}$, then $P(A)=1$
Let B be the event that at least one of the coins is definitely a head is $B=\{ HT,TH,HH \}$, then $P(B)=3/4$
Then $A∩B=0$ We want $P(A|B)$ (the probability of A given B).
By a standard formula, $P(A|B)=\frac{P(A∩B)}{P(B)}=0$
Actually, I am confusing about A event. What does it mean of getting one head? In my knowledge, I think that getting one head means we only achieve one head from two coins. But it looks like impossible case because when we toss, we often have 4 outcomes such that HH,HT,TH,TT.
As comment of Zoran Loncarevic, the event A will be A={HT,TH} , Thereby $P(A)=1/2$
$A ∩ B=\{HT,TH\} $, thus $P(A ∩ B)=1/2$
Base on conditional prob., we have $P(A|B)=\frac{P(A∩B)}{P(B)} =\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{4}{3}=\frac{2}{3} $