Given the following problem:
The percentage of faulty tablets of a certain drug detected by a quality-controlling machine is 1%. If the tubes are packed in boxes of 25 units each, which is the probability of one box containing 20 tubes without any faulty tablets?
- $ RV:X $ number of faulty tablets
My first approach was:
$ n=20*25=500 $ drugs per box
The Poisson’s conditions are satisfied because:
- $ p<0.1 $
- $ n>30 $
- $ n*p \leq 5$
So,
$$ P(X=0)=\frac{\lambda^X}{X!}*e^{-\lambda}=0.6737 percent$$
Which is not correct according to my professor’s solution. What am I missing?
Because the application of the poisson distribution is an approximation only. The quality of a tablet is binomial distributed as $X\sim \textrm{Bin}(500,0.001)$. Then
$$P(X=0)=\binom{500}{0}\cdot 0.01^0\cdot 0.99^{500}=0.00657...=0.6750\%$$
But your approximation is not so bad.