A bag contains $30$ buttons that are colored either blue, red or yellow. There are the same number of each color ($10$ each). A total $4$ buttons are drawn from the bag. Compute the followings:
- Find $n(\Omega)$.
- The probability that at least $3$ of them are red?
- The probability that there is at least one of each color?
This seems like a basic problem but my professor and I cannot agree on an answer.
I think the probabilities are $2/21$ and $100/203$ for parts $2$ and $3$ respectively. I used combinations to calculate the probabilities.
My professor said $n(A)/n(\Omega)$ is $3/15$ for both so that is the answer for both $2$ and $3$.
$$\frac{{10\choose3}{20\choose1}+{10\choose4}}{{30\choose4}}=\frac{2610}{27405}=\frac{2\cdot3^2\cdot5\cdot29}{3^3\cdot5\cdot7\cdot29}=\frac 2{21}$$
$$\frac 12\times\frac{{10\choose1}{10\choose1}{10\choose1}{27\choose1}}{{30\choose4}}=\frac 12\times\frac{10\cdot10\cdot10\cdot27}{27405}=\frac 12\times\frac{2^3\cdot3^3\cdot5^3}{3^3\cdot5\cdot7\cdot29}=\frac {100}{203}$$ where the factor of $\frac12$ was to cancel double-counting, in that every combination like $(\underbrace{R_i}_{{10\choose1}}\underbrace{B_i}_{{10\choose1}}\underbrace{Y_i}_{{10\choose1}}\underbrace{R_j}_{{27\choose1}})$ is also counted in $(R_jB_iY_iR_i)$.
You are correct.