Given that today is sunny. What is probability that tomorrow will rain?
I'm not sure if this is the correct way or even if this question has enough info to start Bayes' Theorem discussion.
What elements am I missing if I am?
If I'm not. Is it just a 50% chance that it will rain tomorrow given today was sunny?
Basically 1 of 2 possibilities.
Thanks!
---Edit
So now that I know there needs to be more info.
Given that it has rained 6 of the 9 days. Not consecutively. What is the probability it will rain again today? Is this enough information or would one need more?
There isn't any information linking those two days together, we can treat either days as a set and the question becomes "given bag A is filled with blue marbles, what is the probability that bag B is filled with red" the only information we have is that bag A is filled with blue marbles.