Suppose that n balls are tossed, one at a time, into n bins such that each ball is equally likely to fall into any bin and that the tosses are independent. What is the probability that the first bin is empty?
2026-03-28 14:53:43.1774709623
What is the probability that the first bin is empty?
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Toss one ball and the chance that it will miss the first bin is $p=\frac{n-1}{n}$. But you have to miss the first bin $n$ times in a row so the probability is:
$$P=p^n=\left(1-\frac 1n\right)^n$$
It's interesting to notice that for big values of $n$ the probability is approximately $\frac1e$.